Appreciate the perspective. I don’t know that the all-or-nothing lens is most relevant to the future of work conversation. Is a 20% trim to the balance sheet, rehiring down to a fraction, fewer new roles due to business AI usage mandates be more likely, which would cause massive ripples through the economy? Seems to me where the discussion should center.
It may not be an apocalypse right away, but in my humble opinion the current and near-term painful effects are being very seriously downplayed. Companies, governments and societies need to prepare, but the pace of change is daunting and the corporate temptation to pause hiring or downsize will be too great. The disruption could be serious -- but I don't expect the white-collar workforce to just lie down and accept it without protest (especially in conjunction with other painful realities around tariffs, immigration, political agendas, etc.)
AI is quickly moving from a tool to a default where most people have the same advantage. But like other tools that are supposedly democratized, the poor have less access.
I am seeing some people rush to the trades where both mental acuity and physicality are prized. Maybe robotics catches up there but it will be a while.
Appreciate the perspective. I don’t know that the all-or-nothing lens is most relevant to the future of work conversation. Is a 20% trim to the balance sheet, rehiring down to a fraction, fewer new roles due to business AI usage mandates be more likely, which would cause massive ripples through the economy? Seems to me where the discussion should center.
It may not be an apocalypse right away, but in my humble opinion the current and near-term painful effects are being very seriously downplayed. Companies, governments and societies need to prepare, but the pace of change is daunting and the corporate temptation to pause hiring or downsize will be too great. The disruption could be serious -- but I don't expect the white-collar workforce to just lie down and accept it without protest (especially in conjunction with other painful realities around tariffs, immigration, political agendas, etc.)
AI is quickly moving from a tool to a default where most people have the same advantage. But like other tools that are supposedly democratized, the poor have less access.
I am seeing some people rush to the trades where both mental acuity and physicality are prized. Maybe robotics catches up there but it will be a while.